A Penn Schoen Berland (D) poll; conducted 10/12-14 for The Hill/American Natural Gas Assn; surveyed 408 LVs; margin of error +/- 4.9% (release, 10/20). Party ID breakdown: 28%D, 42%R, 26%I. Tested: '08 nominee/ex-Maricopa Co. Treas. David Schweikert (R) and Rep. Harry Mitchell (D).

General Election Matchup

-              All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
D. Schweikert  45%  4% 80% 33% 54% 37%
H. Mitchell    42  90  10  49  33  51
Other           1   2   1   0   0   2
Not vote        2   1   1   3   0   3
Undec          10   3   7  15  13   7

Fav/Unfav

-               All     Dem     GOP     Ind     
D. Schweikert  39%/39% 11%/62% 66%/19% 28%/47% 
H. Mitchell    42 /47  80 / 9  17 /75  50 /39  

Obama As POTUS

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve     44% 93%  8% 53% 34% 51%
Disapprove  56   7  91  46  64  46

Cong. Job Approval

-           All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Approve     17% 41%  5% 15% 12% 21%
Disapprove  79  55  94  79  86  74

How Important In Your Vote Decision Is Your Feeling About Obama?

-                       All Dem GOP Ind Men Wom
Very important          44% 38% 57% 35% 45% 43%
Somewhat important      24  34  17  25  22  26
Not very important      13  12  12  17  13  13
Not at all important    17  15  13  21  17  16